FATE · free public forecasts
World Cup 2026 Forecasts
The Asian Handicap line FATE is watching for every match — review only, not betting advice.
Forecasts & results updated 2026-07-28 20:55 SGT · refreshed automatically through the tournament.
AH record: 25 full wins, 2 half wins, 4 pushes, 11 losses from 42 settled. Money record: only 1 verified price, so profit/loss is not meaningful yet. · full record · REVIEW ONLY — not betting advice
Page served 2026-07-28 12:57 UTC · if this time is old, you are seeing a cached copy — hard-refresh for the live product.
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Live: World Cup 2026 free forecasts · Archive: Premier League 25/26 · Roadmap: LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, UCL — not live yet.
104 tracked = 104 completed + 0 upcoming + 0 live + 0 awaiting result + 0 unresolved bracket slots + 0 awaiting model
New here? Each row shows who is playing, when, and which side FATE rates more likely to win — ✓/✗ show how past calls actually scored. The AH / HK price lines are optional detail for Asian-handicap readers. Reference only — never betting advice.
How to read these forecasts
FATE lean is the model's most likely outcome with its probability. AH watch is the Asian Handicap line the model is tracking against the market. Model-implied HK estimate is the model's own comparison level for that line — not bookmaker odds, not an entry price, and not an instruction to bet. The bookmaker market is the benchmark; when FATE differs from the market, treat the difference as model risk.
Asian price view: HK odds are the canonical price here — stake 1 to win that amount (HK 0.80 = win 0.80 profit on 1 staked). Malay odds are shown as a display conversion only: at HK 1.00 and below, Malay is the same positive number; above HK 1.00, Malay shows negative (Malay −0.80 = risk 0.80 to win 1, which is roughly HK 1.25 — NOT the same price as HK 0.80). Never compare a positive and a negative Malay price as if they were the same thing.
Settlement stays stake-based: full win = +HK price, half win = +HK price/2, push = 0, half loss = −0.50 stake, full loss = −1.00 stake. A full loss always costs the whole stake, whatever the odds were.
All FATE model-fair prices are model estimates. Market numbers shown in the “Market benchmark snapshot” section are source-labelled reference snapshots (owner-observed boards or automated public odds pages) — captured references, never a live quote, a betting tip, or a claimed market edge. The bookmaker market is the benchmark; FATE disagreement is model risk, not edge. The target payout band for a balanced-odds line is HK 0.80–1.20.
Everything here is market comparison / reference only. A FATE watch is not betting advice and not an order to enter. Market aligned means low conflict, not value — never treat market alignment as a betting signal. No edge is claimed.
Results are graded only from verified final scores. A match with no saved pre-kickoff pick is never counted as a hit or a miss.
Results & track record
Record 68-36 · accuracy 65% · Brier score 0.5188 (random baseline 0.667) · graded only from verified final scores.
Final · 1 matches
Final 🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇦🇷 Argentina 1-0 Spain 36% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Spain 0
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Third-place · 1 matches
Third-place 🇫🇷 France vs 🏴 England 4-6 France 35% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at France 0
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Semifinal · 2 matches
Semifinal 🏴 England vs 🇦🇷 Argentina 1-2 Argentina 37% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Argentina 0
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Semifinal 🇫🇷 France vs 🇪🇸 Spain 0-2 Spain 37% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Spain 0
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Quarterfinal · 4 matches
Quarterfinal 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇨🇭 Switzerland 3-1 Argentina 40% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Switzerland +0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Quarterfinal 🇳🇴 Norway vs 🏴 England 1-2 England 45% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at England -0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Quarterfinal 🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇧🇪 Belgium 2-1 Spain 45% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Spain -0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Quarterfinal 🇫🇷 France vs 🇲🇦 Morocco 2-0 France 41% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Morocco +0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 · 8 matches
Round of 16 🇨🇭 Switzerland vs 🇨🇴 Colombia 0-0 Switzerland 39% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: half win at Colombia +0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇪🇬 Egypt 3-2 Argentina 56% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Argentina -0.5
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇺🇸 United States vs 🇧🇪 Belgium 1-4 United States 34% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at United States 0
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇪🇸 Spain 0-1 Spain 47% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Portugal +0.5
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🏴 England 2-3 Mexico 42% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Mexico -0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇧🇷 Brazil vs 🇳🇴 Norway 1-2 Brazil 46% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Norway +0.5
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇵🇾 Paraguay vs 🇫🇷 France 0-1 France 56% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at France -0.5
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 16 🇨🇦 Canada vs 🇲🇦 Morocco 0-3 Canada 39% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Morocco +0.25
Proof
Pre-kickoff forecast snapshot saved
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 · 16 matches
Round of 32 🇨🇴 Colombia vs 🇬🇭 Ghana 1-0 Colombia 66% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Colombia -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇨🇻 Cape Verde 3-2 Argentina 77% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Argentina -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇦🇺 Australia vs 🇪🇬 Egypt 1-1 Australia 36% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: push at Australia 0
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇨🇭 Switzerland vs 🇩🇿 Algeria 2-0 Switzerland 70% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Switzerland -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇭🇷 Croatia 2-1 Portugal 36% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Croatia 0
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇦🇹 Austria 3-0 Spain 81% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Spain -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇺🇸 United States vs 🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 United States 58% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at United States -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇧🇪 Belgium vs 🇸🇳 Senegal 3-2 Belgium 54% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Belgium -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🏴 England vs 🇨🇩 Congo DR 2-1 England 82% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at England -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador 2-0 Mexico 40% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Ecuador +0.25
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇫🇷 France vs 🇸🇪 Sweden 3-0 France 80% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at France -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast vs 🇳🇴 Norway 1-2 Norway 48% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Ivory Coast +0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇲🇦 Morocco 1-1 Netherlands 40% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇵🇾 Paraguay 1-1 Germany 60% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇧🇷 Brazil vs 🇯🇵 Japan 2-1 Brazil 46% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Round of 32 🇿🇦 South Africa vs 🇨🇦 Canada 0-1 Canada 84% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage · 72 matches
Group stage 🇩🇿 Algeria vs 🇦🇹 Austria 3-3 Austria 39% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: push at Austria 0
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇯🇴 Jordan vs 🇦🇷 Argentina 1-3 Argentina 84% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Argentina -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇴 Colombia vs 🇵🇹 Portugal 0-0 Colombia 38% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: push at Colombia 0
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇩 DR Congo vs 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan 3-1 Uzbekistan 48% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at DR Congo +0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇵🇦 Panama vs 🏴 England 0-2 England 74% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at England -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇭🇷 Croatia vs 🇬🇭 Ghana 2-1 Croatia 82% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Croatia -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇪🇬 Egypt vs 🇮🇷 Iran 1-1 Iran 53% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at Iran -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇳🇿 New Zealand vs 🇧🇪 Belgium 1-5 Belgium 68% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Belgium -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇻 Cape Verde vs 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 0-0 Saudi Arabia 41% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: half win at Cape Verde +0.25
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇪🇸 Spain 0-1 Spain 75% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Spain -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇳🇴 Norway vs 🇫🇷 France 1-4 France 67% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at France -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇸🇳 Senegal vs 🇮🇶 Iraq 5-0 Senegal 66% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full win at Senegal -0.5
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇺🇸 United States vs 🇹🇷 Turkey 2-3 Turkey 40% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: full loss at United States +0.25
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇵🇾 Paraguay vs 🇦🇺 Australia 0-0 Paraguay 36% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: push at Paraguay 0
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇸🇪 Sweden 1-1 Japan 73% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇹🇳 Tunisia vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands 1-3 Netherlands 75% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇼 Curaçao vs 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast 0-2 Ivory Coast 65% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇩🇪 Germany 2-1 Ecuador 39% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇨🇿 Czech Republic 3-0 Mexico 76% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇿🇦 South Africa vs 🇰🇷 South Korea 1-0 South Korea 73% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🏴 Scotland vs 🇧🇷 Brazil 0-3 Brazil 74% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇲🇦 Morocco vs 🇭🇹 Haiti 4-2 Morocco 78% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇦 Canada vs 🇨🇭 Switzerland 1-2 Canada 41% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina vs 🇶🇦 Qatar 3-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 50% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇴 Colombia vs 🇨🇩 DR Congo 1-0 Colombia 77% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇵🇦 Panama vs 🇭🇷 Croatia 0-1 Croatia 60% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🏴 England vs 🇬🇭 Ghana 0-0 England 87% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan 5-0 Portugal 67% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇯🇴 Jordan vs 🇩🇿 Algeria 1-2 Algeria 51% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇳🇴 Norway vs 🇸🇳 Senegal 3-2 Norway 40% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇫🇷 France vs 🇮🇶 Iraq 3-0 France 85% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇦🇹 Austria 2-0 Argentina 77% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇳🇿 New Zealand vs 🇪🇬 Egypt 1-3 Egypt 42% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇨🇻 Cape Verde 2-2 Uruguay 80% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇧🇪 Belgium vs 🇮🇷 Iran 0-0 Belgium 46% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4-0 Spain 87% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇹🇳 Tunisia vs 🇯🇵 Japan 0-4 Japan 73% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇨🇼 Curaçao 0-0 Ecuador 85% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast 2-1 Germany 70% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇸🇪 Sweden 5-1 Netherlands 75% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇹🇷 Turkey vs 🇵🇾 Paraguay 0-1 Turkey 42% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇧🇷 Brazil vs 🇭🇹 Haiti 3-0 Brazil 83% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🏴 Scotland vs 🇲🇦 Morocco 0-1 Morocco 65% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇺🇸 United States vs 🇦🇺 Australia 2-0 United States 37% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇰🇷 South Korea 1-0 Mexico 62% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇦 Canada vs 🇶🇦 Qatar 6-0 Canada 86% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇭 Switzerland vs 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 4-1 Switzerland 80% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇿 Czech Republic vs 🇿🇦 South Africa 1-1 Czech Republic 57% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan vs 🇨🇴 Colombia 1-3 Colombia 70% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇬🇭 Ghana vs 🇵🇦 Panama 1-0 Panama 70% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🏴 England vs 🇭🇷 Croatia 4-2 England 53% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇨🇩 DR Congo 1-1 Portugal 76% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇦🇹 Austria vs 🇯🇴 Jordan 3-1 Austria 55% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇩🇿 Algeria 3-0 Argentina 79% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇮🇶 Iraq vs 🇳🇴 Norway 1-4 Norway 70% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇫🇷 France vs 🇸🇳 Senegal 3-1 France 70% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇮🇷 Iran vs 🇳🇿 New Zealand 2-2 Iran 59% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay 1-1 Uruguay 77% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇧🇪 Belgium vs 🇪🇬 Egypt 1-1 Belgium 62% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇨🇻 Cape Verde 0-0 Spain 87% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇹🇳 Tunisia 5-1 Sweden 35% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador 1-0 Ecuador 72% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇯🇵 Japan 2-2 Netherlands 39% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇨🇼 Curaçao 7-1 Germany 84% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇦🇺 Australia vs 🇹🇷 Turkey 2-0 Turkey 42% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇭🇹 Haiti vs 🏴 Scotland 0-1 Scotland 56% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇧🇷 Brazil vs 🇲🇦 Morocco 1-1 Brazil 48% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇶🇦 Qatar vs 🇨🇭 Switzerland 1-1 Switzerland 84% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇺🇸 United States vs 🇵🇾 Paraguay 4-1 United States 37% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇨🇦 Canada vs 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 Canada 82% MISS
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇰🇷 South Korea vs 🇨🇿 Czech Republic 2-1 South Korea 54% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Group stage 🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇿🇦 South Africa 2-0 Mexico 84% HIT
90-min winner lean (secondary)
Handicap watch result: not graded (no pre-kickoff snapshot proof)
Proof
Snapshot saved after kickoff (not pre-kickoff proof)
Model FATE World Cup public v1 · data snapshot 0db14ddd3a6d
Premier League 25/26 archive · 36 graded forecasts (off-season)
- 2026-05-11 · Tottenham vs Leeds · Over 2.5 goals (63%) · Under 2.5 goals
- 2026-05-10 · Crystal Palace vs Everton · Under 2.5 goals (66%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-05-10 · Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle · Under 2.5 goals (52%) · Under 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-05-10 · West Ham vs Arsenal · Over 2.5 goals (57%) · Under 2.5 goals
- 2026-05-09 · Liverpool vs Chelsea · Liverpool to win (61%) · Draw
- 2026-05-09 · Sunderland vs Man United · Under 2.5 goals (59%) · Under 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-05-04 · Everton vs Man City · Under 2.5 goals (59%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-05-03 · Aston Villa vs Tottenham · Over 2.5 goals (65%) · Over 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-05-03 · Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace · Under 2.5 goals (61%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-05-02 · Arsenal vs Fulham · Over 2.5 goals (55%) · Over 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-05-02 · Newcastle vs Brighton · Newcastle to win (56%) · Newcastle to win HIT
- 2026-05-02 · Newcastle vs Brighton · Over 2.5 goals (69%) · Over 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-05-02 · Wolves vs Sunderland · Under 2.5 goals (64%) · Under 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-04-27 · Manchester United vs Brentford · Manchester United to win (57%) · Hit HIT
- 2026-04-25 · Arsenal vs Newcastle · Over 2.5 goals (60%) · Under 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-25 · West Ham vs Everton · Under 2.5 goals (59%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-25 · Wolves vs Tottenham · Over 2.5 goals (64%) · Under 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-24 · Sunderland vs Nott'm Forest · Sunderland to win (53%) · Nott'm Forest to win
- 2026-04-22 · Bournemouth vs Leeds · Under 2.5 goals (57%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-21 · Brighton vs Chelsea · Over 2.5 goals (59%) · Over 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-04-20 · Crystal Palace vs West Ham · Over 2.5 goals (56%) · Under 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-19 · Aston Villa vs Sunderland · Aston Villa to win (65%) · Aston Villa to win HIT
- 2026-04-19 · Aston Villa vs Sunderland · Under 2.5 goals (63%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-19 · Man City vs Arsenal · Under 2.5 goals (54%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-18 · Chelsea vs Man United · Chelsea to win (52%) · Man United to win
- 2026-04-18 · Leeds vs Wolves · Under 2.5 goals (54%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-18 · Newcastle vs Bournemouth · Newcastle to win (61%) · Bournemouth to win
- 2026-04-12 · Crystal Palace vs Newcastle · Over 2.5 goals (54%) · Over 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-04-12 · Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa · Under 2.5 goals (56%) · Under 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-04-12 · Sunderland vs Tottenham · Under 2.5 goals (52%) · Under 2.5 goals HIT
- 2026-04-11 · Brentford vs Everton · Under 2.5 goals (53%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-04-11 · Liverpool vs Fulham · Liverpool to win (69%) · Liverpool to win HIT
- 2026-03-22 · Aston Villa vs West Ham · Aston Villa to win (63%) · Aston Villa to win HIT
- 2026-03-22 · Aston Villa vs West Ham · Over 2.5 goals (67%) · Under 2.5 goals
- 2026-03-22 · Newcastle vs Sunderland · Under 2.5 goals (57%) · Over 2.5 goals
- 2026-03-22 · Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest · Over 2.5 goals (65%) · Over 2.5 goals HIT
What is FATE? · methodology & safety
What is FATE?
FATE = Forecast Adaptive Truth Engine. It forecasts football matches (who is more likely to win, and which Asian Handicap line it would watch) and checks itself against the real bookmaker market.
What “adaptive” means: the bookmaker Asian Handicap market is the benchmark, not FATE. When FATE and the real market main line are close, FATE says so plainly. When they are far apart, FATE adapts DOWN — it marks the watch NO BET and treats its own model as the likely-wrong side, because a large disagreement with the market is model risk, not edge. FATE never dresses an off-market model line up as a recommended slip.
Why the market is the benchmark: in a walk-forward audit FATE’s lines did not beat the market’s closing line (closing-line value was negative), so the honest default is that the market is probably right and FATE is a reference.
The AH slip shows the side, the FATE watch line, the real market MAIN line, the true gap, and a plain decision (NO BET / REVIEW ONLY today; BET only after the truth gate is passed). Prices are never compared across different handicap lines — Morocco +0.25 and Morocco +1 are different bets. The performance ledger is the honest record: settled watches, hit rate, and profit/loss per $100 over watches with a verified pre-kickoff price only — never fabricated.
Why NO BET matters: saying NO BET when the model disagrees with the market is the whole point of an adaptive truth engine. Current limits: FATE has no proven betting edge yet, and every slip stays 0 PLAYABLE until a real truth gate (live pre-kickoff record, verified prices, positive $/100, verified closes) is genuinely passed.
FATE World Cup 2026 free forecasts, graded against verified match results and updated daily. Market comparison / reference only — FATE watch, not betting advice, and not an order to enter. No bookmaker odds, no EV, ROI, CLV, profit, or betting edge is claimed. Market alignment means low conflict, not value. AH/fair-line output is model-implied unless a real market source is present.
Product posture: FATE is a market-comparison reference board — FATE watch, not betting advice. Nothing on this page is sold, recommended, or auto-published, and no bookmaker odds, EV, ROI, or market edge is claimed anywhere on this page. Market aligned means low conflict, not value. Nothing here is an order to enter.
Market status: reference snapshots only (owner-observed boards and automated public odds pages), source-labelled and never a live quote. The bookmaker market is the benchmark; a snapshot can mark a row REVIEW / WATCH / SKIP but never unlocks any betting claim on its own.
Fixtures & live status: public ESPN World Cup scoreboard. Results: martj42/international_results (CC0, verified).
Machine-readable feed: canonical live JSON.